Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$28.36
-0.17 (-0.60%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-10.54%
90d:
+13.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When ACHC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.80
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $28.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.83 to $31.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.85, while resistance sits at $30.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.39 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.85, while resistance sits at $30.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.39 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$27.83 -
$31.11
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.39)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with -0.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.83 -
$31.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.85
Resistance Level
$30.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.56
Wall Street Target
$33.39
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.6%
Profit Margin
-33.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.92
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$31.57
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$33.30
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.4%)
$59.46
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 17.4%)
$45.88
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 17.4%)
$38.91
(+37%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ACHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
ACHC is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare CorporaâĻ |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$285 | 61 BUY |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$451 | 50 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$148 | 55 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$24 | 52 HOLD |
|
ADUS
Addus HomeCare CorporatiâĻ |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$135 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced ACHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.
