ACHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

SERVICES-SPECIALTY OUTPATIENT FACILITIES, NEC
$34.38
-0.12 (-0.35%) ▼
5d: +12.5%
30d: +46.3%
90d: +27.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your ACHC Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 7d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 4.9/10

Get Alerted When ACHC Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ACHC is 8.7% above its trading range ($31.63). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.29
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.29
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $34.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.82 to $31.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ACHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.82 - $31.63
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

Protect Your Profits

ACHC is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.71)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.8% growth with 7.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.82 - $31.63
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.68
Resistance Level $34.90
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.64
Wall Street Target $31.71 (-8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.6%
Profit Margin -32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +16.8% premium
PE vs Historical 19.6 vs 12.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +16.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $40.30 (+17%)
2-Year Target $47.07 (+36%)
3-Year Target $54.97 (+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→12) PE COMPRESSION $34.43 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.0, Growth: 15.5%) $56.86 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 15.5%) $53.15 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 15.5%) $33.29 (-4%)
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: July 20, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ACHC.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora…
STRONG BUY
22 analysts
$244 58 HOLD
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.
BUY
25 analysts
$468 52 HOLD
EHC
Encompass Health Corp
STRONG BUY
12 analysts
$141 61 BUY
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc
STRONG BUY
11 analysts
$24 52 HOLD
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati…
STRONG BUY
11 analysts
$133 55 HOLD

Advanced ACHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ACHC

ACHC Technical Chart ACHC Price Prediction ACHC Earnings Date ACHC Investment Advisor ACHC Fair Price Analyzer ACHC Options Advisor ACHC Options Chain ACHC Options Analysis ACHC Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals