AEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$109.61
0.86 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
-3.66%
30d:
-2.3%
90d:
-3.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.07
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $109.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.56 to $114.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $107.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.62 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $107.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.62 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$110.56 -
$114.44
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($121.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.56 -
$114.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.19
Resistance Level
$114.82
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.78
Wall Street Target
$121.63
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.17
(0%)
2-Year Target
$108.73
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$108.30
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$109.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$154.36
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$139.85
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$118.87
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$125.57
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$114.16
(+4%)
Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$73.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$110.89
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEE price and gamma walls.