AEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$109.70
1.03 (0.95%)
▲
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
+0.93%
90d:
+3.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.37
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $109.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.07 to $110.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $111.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $111.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$107.07 -
$110.16
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($119.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.07 -
$110.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.14
Resistance Level
$111.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.77
Wall Street Target
$119.87
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.37
(0%)
2-Year Target
$109.04
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$108.72
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$110.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$164.19
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$141.46
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$120.24
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$125.68
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$114.26
(+4%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$73.90
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$111.07
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
Michael L Moehn
SELL
6500 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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