ALGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGM - Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock
$44.54
-2.09 (-4.48%)
▼
5d:
-16.14%
30d:
-7.96%
90d:
+34.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALGM is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALGM is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGM is currently trading at $44.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.34 to $50.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.1) is in line with its historical norms (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.42 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.42 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.34 -
$50.62
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($54.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.34 -
$50.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.27
Resistance Level
$54.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.10
Wall Street Target
$54.42
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
46.1 vs 42.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.83
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$47.16
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$48.53
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.1, Growth: 82.2%)
$150.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 82.2%)
$71.48
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 82.2%)
$60.76
(+36%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 10, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALGM price and gamma walls.
