ALGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGM - Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock
$51.87
1.01 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
+8.14%
90d:
+36.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGM is currently trading at $51.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.82 to $60.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 52.6) compared to its historical average (44.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.60, while resistance sits at $71.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.91 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.60, while resistance sits at $71.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.91 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.82 -
$60.83
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.82 -
$60.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.61
Resistance Level
$71.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.63
Wall Street Target
$56.91
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
52.6 vs 44.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.75
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$56.82
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$60.06
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→45)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.6, Growth: 82.2%)
$171.64
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 82.2%)
$71.02
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 82.2%)
$60.37
(+19%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALGM price and gamma walls.
