ALGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGM - Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock
$55.87
0.35 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+4.84%
30d:
+21.59%
90d:
+71.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGM is currently trading at $55.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.44 to $54.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 57.5) compared to its historical average (43.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.27, while resistance sits at $61.67.
Market Sentiment: ALGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.27, while resistance sits at $61.67.
Market Sentiment: ALGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.44 -
$54.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.73)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.44 -
$54.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.27
Resistance Level
$61.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
57.46
Wall Street Target
$55.73
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
57.5 vs 43.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.13
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$67.30
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$74.10
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 57→43)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 57.5, Growth: 82.2%)
$187.38
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 82.2%)
$71.02
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 82.2%)
$60.37
(+9%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ALGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALGM price and gamma walls.
