ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock
SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
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Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.71
-0.40 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+18.32%
30d:
-1.58%
90d:
-28.56%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect ALGM Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$30.39 – $35.63
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.8x
CHEAP
vs 42.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.85
+54.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.95 / $34.85
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ALGM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGM is currently trading at $31.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.39 to $35.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.8) compared to its historical average (42.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 300% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.95, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.85 (+54.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.95, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.85 (+54.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.39 -
$35.63
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$30.39 -
$35.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$25.95
Resistance Level
$34.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.0% below Wall St target ($48.85)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.82
Wall Street Target
$48.85
(+54.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
300.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 42.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.08
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$26.66
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$24.45
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→43)
$31.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 82.2%)
$107.02
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 82.2%)
$64.76
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 82.2%)
$55.05
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.07
Bull Case
$38.29
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$31.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$24.26
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.8 to 42.6
Stabilization Target:
$41.16
(+29.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALGM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expressed confidence in $ALGM, purchasing 500 shares at $30.90.
Key Retail Themes:
Buyer confidence
Positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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