ALGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALGN - Align Technology Inc
$173.76
-8.32 (-4.57%)
▼
5d:
-0.62%
30d:
+6.35%
90d:
+0.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
Get Alerted When ALGN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALGN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALGN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.37
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGN is currently trading at $173.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.94 to $176.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $167.08, while resistance sits at $185.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALGN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.07 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $167.08, while resistance sits at $185.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALGN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.07 (+20.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$161.94 -
$176.40
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($209.07)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$161.94 -
$176.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.02
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.08
Resistance Level
$185.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.04
Wall Street Target
$209.07
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$172.20
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$170.65
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$169.11
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$173.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$348.03
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$224.41
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$190.75
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.95
Bull Case
$400.58
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$364.16
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$123.81
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$178.17
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Morici
SELL
7969 shares
2026-02-18
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Top Rated Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Instruments & Supplies by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical Inc |
BUY
33 analysts |
$565 | 58 HOLD |
|
ALC
Alcon AG |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$88 | 55 HOLD |
|
RGEN
Repligen Corporation |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$176 | 55 HOLD |
|
WST
West Pharmaceutical Serv… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$359 | 64 BUY |
|
RMD
ResMed Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$262 | 62 BUY |
Advanced ALGN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALGN price and gamma walls.