ALLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALLE - Allegion Public Limited Company
$162.31
0.59 (0.36%)
â˛
5d:
-1.5%
30d:
+5.01%
90d:
+24.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALLE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALLE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.42
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALLE is currently trading at $162.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.73 to $166.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $159.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $159.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$140.73 -
$166.34
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.73 -
$166.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.82
Resistance Level
$169.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.65
Wall Street Target
$174.64
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.26
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$166.23
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$168.22
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$162.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.9%)
$252.82
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$209.71
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 8.9%)
$178.25
(+10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.57
Bull Case
$229.11
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$208.29
(+28%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$109.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Sue Main
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-11
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