REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$19.28
-0.99 (-4.88%)
▼
5d:
-6.59%
30d:
-44.18%
90d:
-32.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REZI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REZI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.21
Based on -3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $19.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.08 to $35.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.08 -
$35.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.6% below Wall St target ($34.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.08 -
$35.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.27
Resistance Level
$26.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$34.25
(+77.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.03
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$16.86
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$15.76
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$19.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -11.8%)
$30.04
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -11.8%)
$14.06
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -11.8%)
$11.95
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$17.90
(-7%)
Analyst growth -19.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$16.27
(-16%)
Market implied -19.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$13.78
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.63
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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