AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$32.77
-0.13 (-0.41%)
âŧ
5d:
+11.56%
30d:
-11.85%
90d:
-38.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal last confirmed Aug 5, 2026
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMSC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMSC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $32.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.51 to $37.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.0) compared to its historical average (37.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 221.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.34, while resistance sits at $34.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+90.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.34, while resistance sits at $34.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+90.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.51 -
$37.48
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.8% below Wall St target ($62.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.51 -
$37.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.34
Resistance Level
$34.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.01
Wall Street Target
$62.50
(+90.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
221.5%
Profit Margin
44.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 37.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$28.71
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$26.87
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â38)
$32.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.0, Growth: -69.5%)
$23.89
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -69.5%)
$15.58
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: -69.5%)
$13.25
(-60%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$18.09
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$16.45
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$22.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.0 to 37.8
Stabilization Target:
$39.94
(+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 09, 2026 11:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
