AMSC American Superconductor Corp MOTORS & GENERATORS

American Superconductor (AMSC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$25.77
+0.30 (+1.18%) ▲
5d: -1.87% 30d: -10.24% 90d: -18.22%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$25.01 – $29.60
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.4x CHEAP
vs 34.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.75
+96.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.16 / $29.21
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: AMSC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $25.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.01 to $29.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (34.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.16, while resistance sits at $29.21.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.75 (+96.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $25.01 - $29.60
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $25.01 - $29.60
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $22.16
Resistance Level $29.21
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 96.9% below Wall St target ($50.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.39
Wall Street Target $50.75 (+96.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -45.4%
Profit Margin 38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.4 vs 34.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.19 (-10%)
2-Year Target $20.87 (-19%)
3-Year Target $18.79 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→35) $26.81 (+4%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.4, Growth: -69.5%) $18.79 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -69.5%) $15.30 (-41%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -69.5%) $13.00 (-50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case $14.01 (-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case $12.73 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case $17.32 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 34.8
Stabilization Target: $36.77 (+42.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +42.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMSC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Oppenheimer identifies American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) as a top pick in the power technology sector due to the potential impact of the bulk power equipment import ban from China.
Key Retail Themes: Bulk power equipment import ban from China Domestic manufacturing preferences
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive AMSC Research Pages
AMSC Technical Chart AMSC Price Prediction AMSC Intrinsic Value DCF AMSC Earnings Date Why is AMSC Moving Today? AMSC Investment Advisor AMSC Fair Price Analyzer AMSC Options Chain AMSC Options Advisor AMSC Options Analysis AMSC Competitors
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