AN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$195.80
3.49 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
+5.04%
30d:
+0.41%
90d:
-2.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When AN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.20
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $195.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.12 to $193.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $201.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.25 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $201.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.25 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$187.12 -
$193.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($242.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.12 -
$193.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.09
Resistance Level
$201.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.06
Wall Street Target
$242.25
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$191.10
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$186.51
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$182.04
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$196.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$754.61
(+285%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$279.31
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$237.41
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.90
Bull Case
$271.85
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$247.14
(+26%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$130.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$211.31
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co |
BUY
24 analysts |
$92 | 55 HOLD |
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$377 | 67 BUY |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 67 BUY |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 50 HOLD |
|
CARG
CarGurus |
BUY
13 analysts |
$37 | 63 BUY |
