LAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAD - Lithia Motors, Inc.
$385.42
-19.61 (-4.84%)
▼
5d:
+13.04%
30d:
+32.77%
90d:
+32.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When LAD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: LAD is 10.4% above its trading range ($348.99). Market expects 7.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: LAD is 10.4% above its trading range ($348.99). Market expects 7.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$498.14
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$309.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAD is currently trading at $385.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $292.43 to $348.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $323.48, while resistance sits at $439.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LAD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $323.48, while resistance sits at $439.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LAD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$292.43 -
$348.99
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LAD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($423.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$292.43 -
$348.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$323.48
Resistance Level
$439.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.21
Wall Street Target
$423.75
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 7.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$412.40
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$441.27
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$472.16
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$384.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.5%)
$1337.75
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 15.5%)
$594.23
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 15.5%)
$483.99
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.14
Bull Case
$687.11
(+78%)
Analyst growth 54.2%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$624.65
(+62%)
Market implied 54.2%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$275.42
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Congdon Stacy Loretz
SELL
75 shares
2026-03-12
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co |
BUY
24 analysts |
$83 | 50 HOLD |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 67 BUY |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 47 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings I… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$11 | 49 HOLD |
|
CARG
CarGurus |
BUY
13 analysts |
$38 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced LAD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LAD price and gamma walls.
