SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$81.43
0.85 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
+7.29%
90d:
+29.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.60
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $81.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.55 to $84.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.55 -
$84.89
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.58)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.55 -
$84.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.26
Resistance Level
$85.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.81
Wall Street Target
$83.58
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.26
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$89.26
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$93.46
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$214.17
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$106.32
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$90.37
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$177.28
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$161.16
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$54.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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