SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$100.37
-2.35 (-2.29%)
▼
5d:
+6.17%
30d:
+19.99%
90d:
+48.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SAH is 7.3% above its trading range ($93.51). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SAH is 7.3% above its trading range ($93.51). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.13
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $100.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.72 to $93.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.03, while resistance sits at $104.30.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $88.92. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.03, while resistance sits at $104.30.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $88.92. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.72 -
$93.51
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.4% above Wall St target ($88.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.9% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.72 -
$93.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.03
Resistance Level
$104.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.20
Wall Street Target
$88.92
(-11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 9.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.31
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$123.44
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$136.90
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$211.87
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$133.08
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$97.82
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$225.98
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$205.44
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$69.85
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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