SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$82.44
-2.45 (-2.89%)
▼
5d:
-9.98%
30d:
-13.5%
90d:
+2.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.46
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $82.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.34 to $101.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+20.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+20.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.34 -
$101.74
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($99.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.34 -
$101.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.69
Resistance Level
$113.67
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.88
Wall Street Target
$99.00
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$87.97
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$90.87
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.9%)
$198.02
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$106.50
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 8.9%)
$90.53
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.14
Bull Case
$115.23
(+40%)
Analyst growth 23.4%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$104.75
(+27%)
Market implied 23.4%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$57.73
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 09, 2026 4:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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