SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$83.29
-1.51 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
+10.19%
90d:
+29.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.52
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $83.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.26 to $82.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.26 -
$82.02
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.58)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.26 -
$82.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.88
Resistance Level
$85.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.06
Wall Street Target
$83.58
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.37
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$93.76
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$99.48
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.75
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$215.45
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 9.3%)
$108.75
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$90.47
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$183.88
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$167.16
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$56.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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