ASPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASPN - Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
$5.18
0.07 (1.37%)
▲
5d:
-11.45%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
-5.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ASPN is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ASPN is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASPN is currently trading at $5.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.66 to $5.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -33.4) compared to its historical average (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+49.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+49.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.66 -
$5.97
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.6% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.66 -
$5.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.68
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.07
Resistance Level
$6.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-33.42
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+49.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.1%
Profit Margin
-62.5%
PE vs Historical
-33.4 vs 42.3
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ASPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASPN price and gamma walls.
