APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$282.45
-0.66 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
-2.67%
90d:
+1.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$379.52
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$235.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $282.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $278.73 to $288.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $276.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $327.86 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $276.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $327.86 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$278.73 -
$288.92
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($327.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$278.73 -
$288.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$276.38
Resistance Level
$287.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.82
Wall Street Target
$327.86
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$281.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$280.19
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$279.07
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
$281.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$388.88
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$353.83
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$300.76
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$467.22
(+65%)
Analyst growth 50.0%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case
$424.75
(+50%)
Market implied 50.0%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$192.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$285.05
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APD price and gamma walls.
