APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$292.94
-1.95 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
+0.12%
30d:
-6.76%
90d:
-2.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$386.27
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$239.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $292.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.16 to $304.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $290.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.74 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $290.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.74 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$287.16 -
$304.45
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($342.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$287.16 -
$304.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$290.20
Resistance Level
$311.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.30
Wall Street Target
$342.74
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$293.53
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$294.11
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$294.70
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$293.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.6%)
$372.97
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$365.24
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$310.46
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.67
Bull Case
$488.19
(+66%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$443.81
(+51%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$204.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-05
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