APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$301.96
2.43 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
+9.2%
90d:
+1.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APD is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: APD is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$383.68
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $301.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $275.38 to $297.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $270.11, while resistance sits at $314.87.
Market Sentiment: APD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $270.11, while resistance sits at $314.87.
Market Sentiment: APD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$275.38 -
$297.49
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($332.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$275.38 -
$297.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$270.11
Resistance Level
$314.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.16
Wall Street Target
$332.05
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 20.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$312.31
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$317.62
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$301.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$391.39
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$380.25
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$323.21
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$494.94
(+64%)
Analyst growth 50.2%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$449.94
(+49%)
Market implied 50.2%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$203.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-05
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Advanced APD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APD price and gamma walls.
