ECL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECL - Ecolab, Inc.
$277.63
-1.71 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
+3.3%
30d:
-0.27%
90d:
+6.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$374.25
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$232.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $277.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.82 to $281.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $285.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.67 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $285.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.67 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$268.82 -
$281.06
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($324.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$268.82 -
$281.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$261.50
Resistance Level
$285.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.43
Wall Street Target
$324.67
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$277.91
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$278.19
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$278.46
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$278.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 15.5%)
$427.85
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.5%)
$301.38
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 15.5%)
$256.17
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.35
Bull Case
$394.39
(+42%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 41.8
Base Case
$358.54
(+29%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$189.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Tracy B Mckibben
SELL
1265 shares
2026-02-25
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