ECL Ecolab, Inc. SOAP, DETERGENTS, CLEANG PREPARATIONS, PERFUMES, COSMETICS

Ecolab (ECL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$306.03
-0.71 (-0.23%) ▼
5d: +0.44% 30d: +7.64% 90d: +9.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$279.89 – $301.72
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.5x FAIR
vs 29.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$330.57
+8.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$288.24 / $318.93
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ECL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$371.47
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$230.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $306.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $279.89 to $301.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.5) is in line with its historical norms (29.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $288.24, while resistance sits at $318.93.

Market Sentiment: ECL scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $279.89 - $301.72
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $279.89 - $301.72
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $288.24
Resistance Level $318.93
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($330.57)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 12.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.54
Wall Street Target $330.57 (+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.9%
Profit Margin 12.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 32.5 vs 29.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $315.82 (+3%)
2-Year Target $325.93 (+7%)
3-Year Target $336.36 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→30) PE COMPRESSION $306.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.5, Growth: 15.3%) $468.83 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%) $286.16 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.3%) $243.24 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.35
Bull Case $431.78 (+41%)
Analyst growth 28.0%, PE expands to 45.9
Base Case $392.53 (+28%)
Market implied 28.0%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case $208.58 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ECL)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $ECL with one user expressing robustness.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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