Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASPN - Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
$5.69
0.13 (2.34%) ▲
5d: +9.0%
30d: +15.65%
90d: +4.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASPN is currently trading at $5.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.85 to $5.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -36.7) compared to its historical average (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.85 - $5.38
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 34th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 36.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($7.75)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.85 - $5.38
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.71 (12.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.02
Resistance Level $5.82
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -36.71
Wall Street Target $7.75 (+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -36.1%
Profit Margin -62.5%
PE vs Historical -36.7 vs 42.3 CHEAP
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASPN price and gamma walls.

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