Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASPN - Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
$5.59
0.14 (2.67%) ▲
5d: +7.61%
30d: +5.38%
90d: +20.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASPN is currently trading at $5.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.12 to $5.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -35.1) compared to its historical average (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+42.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $5.12 - $5.65
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 34th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 42.5% below Wall St target ($7.75)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.12 - $5.65
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.70 (12.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.93
Resistance Level $5.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -35.10
Wall Street Target $7.75 (+42.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -36.1%
Profit Margin -62.5%
PE vs Historical -35.1 vs 42.3 CHEAP
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASPN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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