ASPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASPN - Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
$4.73
0.10 (2.16%) ▲
5d: +1.72%
30d: -15.23%
90d: +10.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASPN is currently trading at $4.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.68 to $5.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -44.4) compared to its historical average (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.07, while resistance sits at $5.47.

Market Sentiment: ASPN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.35 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $4.68 - $5.68
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 69.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($6.35)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.68 - $5.68
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.62 (13.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.07
Resistance Level $5.47
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -44.39
Wall Street Target $6.35 (+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -51.9%
Profit Margin -48.6%
PE vs Historical -44.4 vs 42.3 CHEAP
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASPN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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