The Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHW - The Sherwin-Williams Company
$337.27
1.26 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
+2.72%
90d:
+8.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$491.64
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$305.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHW is currently trading at $337.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $318.99 to $330.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $343.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHW scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $383.12 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $343.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHW scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $383.12 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$318.99 -
$330.31
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($383.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$318.99 -
$330.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$311.23
Resistance Level
$343.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.98
Wall Street Target
$383.13
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 25.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$336.93
(0%)
2-Year Target
$336.60
(0%)
3-Year Target
$336.26
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$337.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$469.96
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$373.56
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$317.53
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.85
Bull Case
$459.85
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case
$418.05
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$228.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.0 to 25.1
Stabilization Target:
$338.82
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 10:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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