Is SHW stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SHW is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of SHW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SHW to be between $332.10 and $361.57. The current price is $323.31.

What is the analyst price target for SHW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SHW is $391.00. This implies a potential upside of 23.2% from current levels.

The Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SHW - The Sherwin-Williams Company

RETAIL-BUILDING MATERIALS, HARDWARE, GARDEN SUPPLY

$323.31

5.87 (1.85%) ▲

5d: -2.69%

30d: -10.24%

90d: +2.03%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SHW Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $333.71 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$504.93

Based on 8.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$313.52

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SHW is currently trading at $323.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $332.10 to $361.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $315.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SHW scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $391.00 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $332.10 - $361.57

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($391.00)
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $332.10 - $361.57

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $315.42

Resistance Level $348.78

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.32

Wall Street Target $391.00 (+23.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.3%

Profit Margin 11.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 23.3 vs 25.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $309.19 (-3%)

2-Year Target $301.15 (-5%)

3-Year Target $293.32 (-8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→25) $318.26 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 23.3, Growth: 12.5%) $452.04 (+42%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.5%) $391.03 (+23%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.5%) $332.37 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 30.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65

Bull Case $450.87 (+42%)

Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 33.1

Base Case $409.88 (+29%)

Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 30.1

Bear Case $218.03 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 25.3

Stabilization Target: $344.44 (+8.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +8.5%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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