SHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHW - The Sherwin-Williams Company
$346.59
-0.32 (-0.09%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.48%
30d:
+11.61%
90d:
+12.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$506.05
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$314.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHW is currently trading at $346.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $327.49 to $361.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.5) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SHW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $390.57 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SHW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $390.57 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$327.49 -
$361.13
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($390.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$327.49 -
$361.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$340.50
Resistance Level
$368.32
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.48
Wall Street Target
$390.57
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$347.60
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$348.30
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$349.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â25)
PE COMPRESSION
$346.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 12.6%)
$495.36
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$390.14
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$331.62
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.10
Bull Case
$477.02
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.6%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$433.65
(+25%)
Market implied 22.6%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case
$240.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Bryan J Young
SELL
2513 shares
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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