SHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHW - The Sherwin-Williams Company
$340.85
-3.99 (-1.16%)
▼
5d:
+7.35%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
+5.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.33
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHW is currently trading at $340.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $322.86 to $345.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $301.10, while resistance sits at $357.27.
Market Sentiment: SHW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $389.60 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $301.10, while resistance sits at $357.27.
Market Sentiment: SHW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $389.60 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$322.86 -
$345.53
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($389.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$322.86 -
$345.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$301.10
Resistance Level
$357.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.12
Wall Street Target
$389.60
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 25.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$340.51
(0%)
2-Year Target
$340.17
(0%)
3-Year Target
$339.83
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$340.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$485.25
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$400.51
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$340.44
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.86
Bull Case
$474.01
(+39%)
Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$430.92
(+26%)
Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$234.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$341.99
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Bryan J Young
SELL
2513 shares
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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