AXTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$33.64
-0.69 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
-0.38%
30d:
+15.48%
90d:
+27.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXTA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXTA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.82
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $33.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.10 to $33.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.97, while resistance sits at $35.02.
Market Sentiment: AXTA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.97, while resistance sits at $35.02.
Market Sentiment: AXTA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.10 -
$33.43
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.10 -
$33.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.97
Resistance Level
$35.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.97
Wall Street Target
$35.71
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.55
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$35.48
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$36.44
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.47
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$78.15
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$42.97
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$36.52
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$62.04
(+84%)
Analyst growth 64.3%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$56.40
(+68%)
Market implied 64.3%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$23.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-23
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