AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
PAINTS, VARNISHES, LACQUERS, ENAMELS & ALLIED PRODS
Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.07
-0.31 (-0.83%)
▼
5d:
-1.01%
30d:
+10.56%
90d:
+0.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$32.86 – $35.87
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x
STRETCHED
vs 11.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.82
+4.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.44 / $38.07
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.93
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $37.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.86 to $35.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $38.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $38.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.86 -
$35.87
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.86 -
$35.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$33.44
Resistance Level
$38.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.86
Wall Street Target
$38.82
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 11.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.44
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$41.97
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$44.65
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$68.48
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$47.77
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$39.65
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$70.52
(+90%)
Analyst growth 71.5%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$64.11
(+73%)
Market implied 71.5%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$25.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AXTA)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits identified a large institutional accumulation of $50.66M worth of $AXTA shares at the support level of $32.45, suggesting potential for an Ascending Triangle breakout.
Key Retail Themes:
Institutional buying
Technical analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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