Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$35.05
0.07 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
+3.91%
30d:
+8.08%
90d:
+6.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.20
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $35.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.26 to $33.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $35.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.26 -
$33.80
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.26 -
$33.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.42
Resistance Level
$35.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.37
Wall Street Target
$39.00
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.0%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.00
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$36.97
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$37.97
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$70.88
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$44.16
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$37.53
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$66.87
(+91%)
Analyst growth 73.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$60.79
(+74%)
Market implied 73.8%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$23.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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