AXTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$32.07
-0.44 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
-8.4%
30d:
-0.09%
90d:
+11.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AXTA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.08
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $32.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.43 to $34.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.71 (+14.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.71 (+14.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.43 -
$34.54
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -0.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.43 -
$34.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.70
Resistance Level
$35.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$36.71
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.33
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$32.59
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$32.85
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$77.90
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 8.3%)
$40.76
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 8.3%)
$34.65
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$58.92
(+81%)
Analyst growth 64.6%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$53.56
(+65%)
Market implied 64.6%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$22.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-23
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