Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$34.16
0.14 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
-5.03%
30d:
-8.37%
90d:
+4.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.00
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $34.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.26 to $37.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.26 -
$37.40
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.26 -
$37.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.85
Resistance Level
$37.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.0%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.60
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$35.05
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$35.51
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$73.31
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$43.24
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$36.75
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$66.75
(+95%)
Analyst growth 78.4%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$60.68
(+78%)
Market implied 78.4%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$23.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-18
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