WTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTW - Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
$257.55
4.58 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
-0.12%
30d:
-0.26%
90d:
-12.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.8% annual earnings decline despite 33% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.8% annual earnings decline despite 33% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$471.18
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$292.56
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTW is currently trading at $257.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $252.86 to $260.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $264.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $331.68 (+28.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $264.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $331.68 (+28.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$252.86 -
$260.81
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($331.68)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$252.86 -
$260.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$248.54
Resistance Level
$264.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.61
Wall Street Target
$331.68
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$242.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$228.54
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$215.29
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$257.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$711.75
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 13.8%)
$379.32
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$322.42
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.02
Bull Case
$368.82
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$335.29
(+30%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$174.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$308.42
(+19.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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