BRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BRO - Brown & Brown, Inc.

INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
$71.43
0.25 (0.35%) ▲
5d: +1.46%
30d: +5.29%
90d: +23.05%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BRO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.75
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BRO is currently trading at $71.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.49 to $71.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.67, while resistance sits at $75.63.

Market Sentiment: BRO scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $66.49 - $71.50
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $66.49 - $71.50
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $67.67
Resistance Level $75.63
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.81
Wall Street Target $76.44 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Profit Margin 18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $72.50 (+2%)
2-Year Target $73.59 (+3%)
3-Year Target $74.69 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $71.61 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.6%) $121.50 (+70%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 7.6%) $88.96 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 7.6%) $75.62 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case $120.64 (+69%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case $109.67 (+54%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case $48.40 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 09, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-17

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