Brown & Brown (BRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRO - Brown & Brown, Inc.
$64.30
-0.72 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-5.9%
30d:
-10.79%
90d:
+10.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.01
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRO is currently trading at $64.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.82 to $72.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.82 -
$72.86
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.82 -
$72.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.14
Resistance Level
$70.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.33
Wall Street Target
$76.50
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.89
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$61.50
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$60.15
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$64.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.7%)
$121.89
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$80.21
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$68.18
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$110.26
(+72%)
Analyst growth 54.2%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$100.23
(+56%)
Market implied 54.2%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$44.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$68.52
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 3:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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