BRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRO - Brown & Brown, Inc.
$68.81
-0.63 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
+1.7%
30d:
+15.26%
90d:
-0.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.89
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRO is currently trading at $68.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.66 to $68.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$59.66 -
$68.23
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 35.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.66 -
$68.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.61
Resistance Level
$70.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.35
Wall Street Target
$74.38
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$70.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$70.49
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$128.14
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$87.55
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$74.42
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$115.89
(+67%)
Analyst growth 57.6%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$105.36
(+52%)
Market implied 57.6%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$45.46
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 17, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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