Aon (AON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$302.69
-5.08 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
-7.43%
30d:
-14.1%
90d:
-9.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$447.95
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$278.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $302.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $324.86 to $361.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $302.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $389.53 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $302.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $389.53 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$324.86 -
$361.38
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($389.53)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$324.86 -
$361.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$302.44
Resistance Level
$358.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$389.53
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$294.21
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$285.98
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$277.97
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$301.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$529.91
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$389.51
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 8.8%)
$331.09
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.31
Bull Case
$377.49
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$343.17
(+13%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$209.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$328.70
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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