AON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$320.74
7.11 (2.27%)
▲
5d:
-2.66%
30d:
-1.07%
90d:
-1.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When AON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$502.31
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$311.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $320.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.37 to $330.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $313.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $313.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.37 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$317.37 -
$330.20
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($382.37)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.37 -
$330.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$313.62
Resistance Level
$340.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.99
Wall Street Target
$382.37
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$313.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$306.78
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$300.03
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$320.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$654.14
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$450.08
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$382.57
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.22
Bull Case
$405.27
(+26%)
Analyst growth 17.5%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$368.43
(+15%)
Market implied 17.5%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$213.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$342.45
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Zeidel
SELL
5040 shares
2026-02-17
Lester B Knight
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Insurance Brokers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance Brokers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co |
BUY
22 analysts |
$265 | 61 BUY |
|
WTW
Willis Towers Watson PLC |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$332 | 60 HOLD |
|
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Compani… |
SELL
20 analysts |
$211 | 61 BUY |
|
BRO
Brown & Brown Inc |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$72 | 62 BUY |
|
BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Gr… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$29 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced AON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AON price and gamma walls.
