AON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$360.55
-6.02 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
+4.95%
90d:
+15.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.02
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $360.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $334.24 to $370.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $399.47 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $399.47 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$334.24 -
$370.14
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($399.47)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 2.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$334.24 -
$370.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$350.83
Resistance Level
$382.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.89
Wall Street Target
$399.47
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$366.32
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$372.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$378.13
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$360.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$620.23
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$505.30
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$429.51
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.63
Bull Case
$488.28
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$443.89
(+23%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$249.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Zeidel
SELL
5040 shares
2026-02-17
Lester B Knight
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Insurance Brokers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance Brokers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co |
BUY
22 analysts |
$287 | 52 HOLD |
|
WTW
Willis Towers Watson PLC |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$347 | 57 HOLD |
|
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Compani… |
SELL
20 analysts |
$211 | 61 BUY |
|
BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Gr… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$31 | 51 HOLD |
|
BRO
Brown & Brown Inc |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$76 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced AON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AON price and gamma walls.
