Is BTU stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BTU is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of BTU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BTU to be between $22.17 and $24.59. The current price is $25.18.

What is the analyst price target for BTU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BTU is $30.58. This implies a potential upside of 21.5% from current levels.

BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

$25.18

-0.73 (-2.82%) ▼

5d: +3.15%

30d: +9.76%

90d: +5.71%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your BTU Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $24.65 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$37.85

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.50

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $25.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.17 to $24.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.60, while resistance sits at $26.16.

Market Sentiment: BTU scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.58 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $22.17 - $24.59

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($30.58)
WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.17 - $24.59

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.60

Resistance Level $26.17

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.86

Wall Street Target $30.58 (+21.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -62.6%

Profit Margin -4.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 9.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $24.60 (-2%)

2-Year Target $24.04 (-5%)

3-Year Target $23.48 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $25.19 (0%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.5

Stabilization Target: $27.01 (+7.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.3%

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Last updated: August 19, 2026 12:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced BTU Option Strategies

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