CCEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCEP - Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Ordinary Shares
$112.40
2.63 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+7.82%
30d:
+11.86%
90d:
+5.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCEP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCEP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.30
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCEP is currently trading at $112.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.28 to $106.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCEP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCEP scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCEP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCEP scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.28 -
$106.05
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.28 -
$106.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.06
Resistance Level
$112.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.86
Wall Street Target
$109.43
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$120.64
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$124.98
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$146.48
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$127.24
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$108.16
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.18
Bull Case
$114.60
(+2%)
Analyst growth -5.1%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$104.18
(-7%)
Market implied -5.1%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$74.64
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 17, 2026 7:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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