CCEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCEP - Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Ordinary Shares

Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters
$105.57
-2.07 (-1.92%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.43%
30d: +0.37%
90d: +18.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CCEP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.90
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCEP is currently trading at $105.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.95 to $109.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCEP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CCEP scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $104.95 - $109.07
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($112.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.95 - $109.07
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $102.59
Resistance Level $110.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.48
Wall Street Target $112.60 (+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.0%
Profit Margin 9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 21.5 vs 20.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $107.36 (+2%)
2-Year Target $109.19 (+3%)
3-Year Target $111.05 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→20) PE COMPRESSION $105.45 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.5, Growth: 9.2%) $137.62 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.2%) $128.83 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.2%) $109.51 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.11
Bull Case $113.87 (+8%)
Analyst growth -3.8%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case $103.52 (-2%)
Market implied -3.8%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $73.20 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 18, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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