FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$32.13
0.17 (0.53%) ▲
5d: +1.55%
30d: -1.26%
90d: -8.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FIZZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.18
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $32.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.95 to $32.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $30.95 - $32.60
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.95 - $32.60
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.72
Resistance Level $32.99
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.65
Wall Street Target $33.00 (+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.5%
Profit Margin 15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 16.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.39 (-2%)
2-Year Target $30.67 (-5%)
3-Year Target $29.96 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $32.17 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.2%) $44.29 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 2.2%) $34.26 (+7%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 2.2%) $29.12 (-9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case $37.02 (+15%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case $33.65 (+5%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case $21.73 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 16.8
Stabilization Target: $34.50 (+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.4%
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Last updated: August 08, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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