CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.

MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
$26.00
1.38 (5.61%) ▲
5d: -1.4%
30d: -12.87%
90d: -12.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Get Alerted When CMP Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.74
31.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $26.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.33 to $30.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.45, while resistance sits at $27.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: CMP scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $26.33 - $30.01
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 95.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($31.50)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.33 - $30.01
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.45
Resistance Level $27.28
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.24
Wall Street Target $31.50 (+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -91.7%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 24.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.47 (-6%)
2-Year Target $23.02 (-12%)
3-Year Target $21.66 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→24) $26.01 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 44.1%) $77.86 (+199%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 44.1%) $77.19 (+197%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 44.1%) $65.61 (+152%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.76
Bull Case $31.39 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case $26.00 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $19.89 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 24.3
Stabilization Target: $31.21 (+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.0%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CMP.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
VALE
Vale SA ADR
BUY
26 analysts
$17 50 HOLD
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd Class…
STRONG BUY
23 analysts
$53 40 HOLD
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp
HOLD
15 analysts
$6 51 HOLD
WRN
Western Copper and Gold …
STRONG BUY
7 analysts
$6 31 SELL
LAR
Lithium Argentina AG
BUY
10 analysts
$11 51 HOLD

More Analysis for CMP

CMP Technical Chart CMP Price Prediction CMP Earnings Date CMP Investment Advisor CMP Fair Price Analyzer CMP Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals