CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$29.63
-1.74 (-5.55%)
▼
5d:
-7.17%
30d:
+11.98%
90d:
+25.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.32
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $29.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.46 to $31.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.3) is in line with its historical norms (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.46 -
$31.41
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.46 -
$31.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.55
Resistance Level
$34.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.26
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 24.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$30.47
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.89
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: 39.0%)
$79.53
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 39.0%)
$68.97
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 39.0%)
$58.63
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.01
Bull Case
$35.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$29.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$22.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 07, 2026 11:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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