CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$29.46
0.11 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
-1.27%
30d:
-5.21%
90d:
+13.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.90
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $29.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.02 to $30.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.27, while resistance sits at $30.54.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.27, while resistance sits at $30.54.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.02 -
$30.87
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.02 -
$30.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.27
Resistance Level
$30.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.91
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 24.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.81
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$29.99
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 44.4%)
$88.77
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 44.4%)
$74.88
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 44.4%)
$63.65
(+116%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.99
Bull Case
$35.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$29.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$22.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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