TECK
Teck Resources Limited
Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
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Teck Resources (TECK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$62.85
-1.82 (-2.81%)
▼
5d:
+1.68%
30d:
-6.94%
90d:
-4.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$61.07 – $66.55
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x
CHEAP
vs 14.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$61.52
-2.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.75 / $65.32
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TECK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 468% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.62
Based on -5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TECK is currently trading at $62.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.07 to $66.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 468.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.75, while resistance sits at $65.32.
Market Sentiment: TECK scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.75, while resistance sits at $65.32.
Market Sentiment: TECK scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.07 -
$66.55
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$61.07 -
$66.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$59.75
Resistance Level
$65.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.52)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$61.52
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
468.4%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.00
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$51.70
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$46.90
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$62.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.9%)
$83.21
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -14.9%)
$45.82
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: -14.9%)
$38.95
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.58
Bull Case
$73.27
(+17%)
Analyst growth 3.0%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$66.61
(+6%)
Market implied 3.0%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$43.98
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$83.92
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TECK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A financial article suggests selling a covered call on Southern Copper (SCCO) to earn a significant income and cap gains at $220, while a bullish StockTwits user expresses confidence in the stock being 'way cheap'.
Key Retail Themes:
Income generation strategy
Capping gains
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TECK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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