Is TECK stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, TECK is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TECK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of TECK stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TECK to be between $64.38 and $67.35. The current price is $62.78.

What is the analyst price target for TECK?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TECK is $59.11. This implies a potential upside of -5.8% from current levels.

Teck Resources (TECK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TECK - Teck Resources Limited

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

$62.78

-1.55 (-2.41%) ▼

5d: -3.12%

30d: -8.86%

90d: +4.9%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your TECK Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 6d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $64.62 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TECK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -10.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$70.25

Based on -3.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$43.62

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TECK is currently trading at $62.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.38 to $67.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 324.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $64.38 - $67.35

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($59.11)
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $64.38 - $67.35

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.94

Resistance Level $68.11

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.12

Wall Street Target $59.11 (-5.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 78.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 324.4%

Profit Margin 17.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -9.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 14.9 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $56.94 (-9%)

2-Year Target $51.65 (-18%)

3-Year Target $46.84 (-25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→15) $62.77 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.8%) $81.74 (+30%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -10.8%) $45.77 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: -10.8%) $38.90 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 17.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.68

Bull Case $108.57 (+73%)

Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 19.2

Base Case $98.70 (+57%)

Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 17.5

Bear Case $43.74 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 14.9

Stabilization Target: $84.13 (+34.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +34.0%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced TECK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TECK price and gamma walls.

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Teck Resources Limited

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

About

Teck is a base metals miner with copper and zinc operations in Canada, the United States, Chile, and Peru. After selling its metallurgical coal business, copper is now its major commodity by EBITDA contribution, followed by zinc. Teck is a top-three zinc miner. Its major new copper mine in Chile at the majority-owned Quebrada Blanca 2, in partnership with Sumitomo, will drive an increase in Teck's attributable copper production by roughly 75%. Along with a number of additional copper growth options, Teck's strategy is to rebalance its portfolio to low-carbon metals such as copper. It sold its oil sands business in early 2023 and its coal business in mid-2024. In September 2025, it agreed to merge with Anglo American.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $21,528,698,754

Employees: 7,200

Listed Since: 1991-05-17

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000886986

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