CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$22.66
0.46 (2.07%)
▲
5d:
+1.21%
30d:
-9.86%
90d:
-21.48%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.98
37.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $22.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.68 to $25.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.13, while resistance sits at $24.19.
Market Sentiment: CMP scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.13, while resistance sits at $24.19.
Market Sentiment: CMP scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.68 -
$25.10
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($30.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.68 -
$25.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.13
Resistance Level
$24.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.90
Wall Street Target
$30.75
(+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.69
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$18.89
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$17.25
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$22.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 41.6%)
$70.78
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 41.6%)
$64.29
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 41.6%)
$54.65
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.53
Bull Case
$27.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$22.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$17.33
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$29.76
(+31.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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