CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$29.53
-0.31 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+2.0%
90d:
+19.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.90
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $29.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.04 to $30.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.59, while resistance sits at $32.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.59, while resistance sits at $32.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.04 -
$30.97
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.04 -
$30.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.59
Resistance Level
$32.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.23
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 24.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$30.50
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$30.84
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 44.4%)
$89.92
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 44.4%)
$77.63
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 44.4%)
$65.98
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.02
Bull Case
$36.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$29.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$22.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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