CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$22.20
0.39 (1.79%)
▲
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-13.25%
90d:
-25.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.13
38.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $22.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.84 to $25.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.13, while resistance sits at $24.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+41.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.13, while resistance sits at $24.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+41.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.84 -
$25.16
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.0% below Wall St target ($30.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.84 -
$25.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.13
Resistance Level
$24.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$30.75
(+41.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 23.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$21.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 41.6%)
$73.29
(+236%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 41.6%)
$61.88
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 41.6%)
$52.60
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.48
Bull Case
$26.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$21.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$16.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$29.88
(+37.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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