CMP
Compass Minerals International, Inc.
MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
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CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$23.05
-0.03 (-0.13%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.5%
30d:
+3.88%
90d:
-12.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$22.06 â $23.23
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.4x
CHEAP
vs 22.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.50
+28.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.24 / $23.75
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.78
33.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $23.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.06 to $23.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.24, while resistance sits at $23.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.24, while resistance sits at $23.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.06 -
$23.23
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$22.06 -
$23.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$22.24
Resistance Level
$23.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($29.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.35
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.41
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$19.89
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$18.48
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â23)
$23.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.5%)
$69.12
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 40.5%)
$63.86
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 40.5%)
$54.28
(+136%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.01
Bull Case
$27.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$23.05
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$17.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$28.77
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CMP)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows a bullish sentiment towards $CMP with one user expressing a simple 'HELLO' message. No recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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