CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$24.80
-0.27 (-1.08%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
-6.87%
90d:
-17.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CMP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.59
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $24.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.42 to $27.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.42 -
$27.21
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($30.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.42 -
$27.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.17
Resistance Level
$26.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.59
Wall Street Target
$30.75
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 23.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.19
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$21.68
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$20.27
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â24)
$24.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 41.6%)
$72.46
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 41.6%)
$70.37
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 41.6%)
$59.81
(+141%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.68
Bull Case
$29.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$24.80
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$18.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$30.26
(+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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