CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$28.44
-0.44 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-8.51%
30d:
-4.71%
90d:
+24.71%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.46
17.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $28.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.14 to $32.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.14 -
$32.05
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.14 -
$32.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.34
Resistance Level
$32.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.62
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 24.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.99
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$29.10
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$29.22
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 39.0%)
$77.49
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.0%)
$68.56
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 39.0%)
$58.28
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.95
Bull Case
$34.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$28.87
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$22.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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