CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$11.03
0.10 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
+5.45%
30d:
+4.85%
90d:
+0.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.37
23.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $11.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.17 to $10.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.17 -
$10.79
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($13.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.17 -
$10.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.97
Resistance Level
$11.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.12
Wall Street Target
$13.31
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.75
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.49
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$10.22
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$11.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 79.1%)
$53.61
(+386%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 79.1%)
$37.23
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 79.1%)
$31.64
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.32
Bull Case
$24.05
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$21.86
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$7.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$11.89
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
