Oshkosh (OSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$130.82
2.00 (1.55%)
▲
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
-11.42%
90d:
-8.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.41
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $130.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.12 to $154.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.07 (+29.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.07 (+29.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$136.12 -
$154.90
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($169.07)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.12 -
$154.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.40
Resistance Level
$147.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.35
Wall Street Target
$169.07
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.59
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$120.56
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$115.74
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$131.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 30.1%)
$628.46
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 30.1%)
$287.91
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 30.1%)
$244.73
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.54
Bull Case
$232.26
(+78%)
Analyst growth 63.9%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$211.15
(+61%)
Market implied 63.9%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$87.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.38
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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