Oshkosh (OSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$145.85
-1.92 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-6.72%
30d:
-6.3%
90d:
+8.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.41
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $145.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.13 to $156.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $145.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.07 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $145.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.07 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$150.13 -
$156.58
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.07)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$150.13 -
$156.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$145.67
Resistance Level
$159.00
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$169.07
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$143.82
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$142.81
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$145.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 30.1%)
$621.37
(+326%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 30.1%)
$320.99
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 30.1%)
$272.84
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$268.31
(+84%)
Analyst growth 65.1%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$243.92
(+67%)
Market implied 65.1%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$100.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.38
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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