OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$146.34
3.57 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
+2.55%
30d:
+10.35%
90d:
-6.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.92
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $146.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.46 to $147.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.01 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.01 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$133.46 -
$147.59
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($163.01)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.46 -
$147.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.19
Resistance Level
$135.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.43
Wall Street Target
$163.01
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$144.88
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$144.16
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$146.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$641.53
(+338%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$307.07
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 28.0%)
$261.01
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.86
Bull Case
$243.88
(+67%)
Analyst growth 58.4%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$221.71
(+52%)
Market implied 58.4%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$95.16
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.80
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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