OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$142.41
-0.51 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
-8.21%
30d:
-1.6%
90d:
-8.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.67
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $142.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.11 to $151.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $138.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.25 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $138.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.25 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$142.11 -
$151.47
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($167.25)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.11 -
$151.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$138.48
Resistance Level
$160.68
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$167.25
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$139.29
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$137.76
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$142.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 29.9%)
$633.33
(+345%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 29.9%)
$312.11
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 29.9%)
$265.30
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.73
Bull Case
$251.03
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.7%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$228.21
(+60%)
Market implied 59.7%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$97.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$147.76
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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