OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$157.09
4.36 (2.85%)
▲
5d:
+2.75%
30d:
+3.37%
90d:
+23.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.24
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $157.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.60 to $155.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $159.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $159.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$145.60 -
$155.19
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($167.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.60 -
$155.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$147.01
Resistance Level
$159.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.23
Wall Street Target
$167.32
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$163.12
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$166.22
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$156.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.2%)
$619.08
(+294%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 30.2%)
$346.50
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 30.2%)
$294.53
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.90
Bull Case
$263.98
(+68%)
Analyst growth 57.1%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$239.98
(+53%)
Market implied 57.1%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$103.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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