Oshkosh (OSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$135.53
2.62 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
+6.24%
30d:
-1.82%
90d:
-10.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.10
23.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $135.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.26 to $139.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $136.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.48 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $136.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.48 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.26 -
$139.99
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($163.48)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.26 -
$139.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.42
Resistance Level
$136.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$163.48
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.87
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$128.31
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$124.85
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$135.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.8%)
$623.16
(+360%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 30.8%)
$303.15
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 30.8%)
$257.68
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.73
Bull Case
$234.93
(+73%)
Analyst growth 60.7%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$213.57
(+58%)
Market implied 60.7%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$90.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$147.30
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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