Oshkosh (OSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$140.10
+0.25 (+0.18%)
▲
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
+10.65%
90d:
-10.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$128.15 – $139.26
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x
FAIR
vs 10.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$159.84
+14.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$120.00 / $147.28
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.82
14.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $140.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.15 to $139.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $120.00, while resistance sits at $147.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.84 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $120.00, while resistance sits at $147.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.84 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$128.15 -
$139.26
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$128.15 -
$139.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$120.00
Resistance Level
$147.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($159.84)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 5.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.86
Wall Street Target
$159.84
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.0%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.78
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$143.48
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$145.20
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$140.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 46.1%)
$798.56
(+470%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 46.1%)
$436.58
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 46.1%)
$371.10
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.91
Bull Case
$250.95
(+79%)
Analyst growth 63.1%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$228.13
(+63%)
Market implied 63.1%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$95.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OSK)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on $OSK following earnings miss, with some optimism from a potential defense partnership as per a recent article
Key Retail Themes:
earnings miss
defense partnership
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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