DE
Deere & Company
FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
Deere & (DE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$687.64
-3.64 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
+3.28%
30d:
+8.7%
90d:
+10.95%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
13d
Protect DE Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$636.67 – $674.31
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
30.0x
FAIR
vs 26.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$694.01
+0.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$625.24 / $697.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $675.48 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1114.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$691.92
0.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $687.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $636.67 to $674.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $697.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $697.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$636.67 -
$674.31
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$636.67 -
$674.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$625.24
Resistance Level
$697.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding DE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($694.01)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.04
Wall Street Target
$694.01
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.0 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$719.96
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$753.80
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$789.23
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$688.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.0, Growth: 26.4%)
$1387.95
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.4%)
$917.54
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 26.4%)
$779.91
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.99
Bull Case
$967.49
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$879.54
(+28%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 38.4
Bear Case
$470.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share DE Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DE)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $DE's potential valuation.
Key Retail Themes:
valuation
expensive
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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