Deere & (DE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$667.26
-4.29 (-0.64%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.98%
30d:
-1.3%
90d:
+7.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1111.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$690.05
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $667.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $652.26 to $697.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $644.06, while resistance sits at $721.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $644.06, while resistance sits at $721.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$652.26 -
$697.17
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
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Holding DE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($691.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$652.26 -
$697.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$644.06
Resistance Level
$721.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.23
Wall Street Target
$691.83
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$695.28
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$724.49
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$754.92
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$666.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 25.9%)
$1333.01
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 25.9%)
$930.31
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 25.9%)
$790.77
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.97
Bull Case
$938.39
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.0%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$853.08
(+28%)
Market implied 27.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$456.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DE price and gamma walls.
