Deere & (DE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$636.54
4.34 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
-9.47%
90d:
+4.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
DE is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; DE has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-21.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1119.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$694.88
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $636.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $652.73 to $693.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $618.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DE scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $618.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DE scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$652.73 -
$693.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($694.01)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$652.73 -
$693.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$618.00
Resistance Level
$660.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.69
Wall Street Target
$694.01
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$649.91
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$663.56
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$677.49
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$636.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$1301.68
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$933.57
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$793.53
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.99
Bull Case
$888.59
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$807.81
(+27%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case
$429.90
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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