DE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DE - Deere & Company

FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$647.47
26.53 (4.27%) ▲
5d: +6.34%
30d: +6.14%
90d: +21.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $620.83 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1092.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$678.33
4.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $647.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $590.90 to $623.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (25.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $654.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $590.90 - $623.64
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($645.22)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with -11.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $590.90 - $623.64
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $579.31
Resistance Level $654.28
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.85
Wall Street Target $645.22 (-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.5%
Profit Margin 10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 28.9 vs 25.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $677.25 (+5%)
2-Year Target $708.41 (+9%)
3-Year Target $740.99 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→25) PE COMPRESSION $647.16 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.9, Growth: 25.0%) $1265.83 (+96%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.0%) $880.48 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 25.0%) $748.41 (+16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.65
Bull Case $868.39 (+34%)
Analyst growth 27.1%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case $789.44 (+22%)
Market implied 27.1%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case $422.24 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DE price and gamma walls.

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