DE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$598.59
9.35 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
+3.66%
30d:
+6.8%
90d:
+6.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1102.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$684.68
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $598.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $544.81 to $586.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $603.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $603.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$544.81 -
$586.86
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($644.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -11.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$544.81 -
$586.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$556.62
Resistance Level
$603.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.22
Wall Street Target
$644.21
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 24.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$609.96
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$621.55
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$633.36
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$599.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 26.1%)
$1201.07
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.1%)
$997.81
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.1%)
$848.14
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.68
Bull Case
$837.06
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.1%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$760.96
(+27%)
Market implied 29.1%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$400.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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