Deere & (DE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DE - Deere & Company

FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$675.74
-2.20 (-0.32%) ▼
5d: -2.69%
30d: +9.03%
90d: +18.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DE Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $693.53 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1103.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$685.27
1.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $675.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $603.68 to $670.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.8) compared to its historical average (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $617.21, while resistance sits at $705.88.

Market Sentiment: DE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $603.68 - $670.23
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($685.19)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with -11.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $603.68 - $670.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $617.21
Resistance Level $705.88
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.81
Wall Street Target $685.19 (+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.5%
Profit Margin 10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.3% premium
PE vs Historical 29.8 vs 25.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $711.55 (+5%)
2-Year Target $749.27 (+11%)
3-Year Target $788.98 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→26) PE COMPRESSION $674.94 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.8, Growth: 25.0%) $1320.49 (+95%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 25.0%) $893.51 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 25.0%) $759.48 (+12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.03
Bull Case $937.62 (+39%)
Analyst growth 25.7%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case $852.39 (+26%)
Market implied 25.7%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case $461.00 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DE price and gamma walls.

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