What is the fair value of CNH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CNH to be between $12.25 and $13.93. The current price is $12.85.

What is the analyst price target for CNH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CNH is $13.94. This implies a potential upside of 8.5% from current levels.

CNH INDUSTRIAL (CNH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.

CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP

$12.85

0.00 (0.00%) ▲

5d: -3.24%

30d: +2.8%

90d: +19.87%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 28, 2026 at $13.26 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CNH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$21.88

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.59

5.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.25 to $13.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.41, while resistance sits at $14.11.

Market Sentiment: CNH scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $12.25 - $13.93

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 48.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.94)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 2.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.25 - $13.93

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.41

Resistance Level $14.11

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.75

Wall Street Target $13.94 (+8.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.3%

Profit Margin 1.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium

PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 16.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.44 (+5%)

2-Year Target $14.06 (+9%)

3-Year Target $14.71 (+14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→16) PE COMPRESSION $12.86 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 51.7%) $47.18 (+267%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 51.7%) $43.37 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 15.9, Growth: 51.7%) $36.86 (+187%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 15.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.83

Bull Case $15.52 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.3

Base Case $12.85 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.5

Bear Case $9.83 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM

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Advanced CNH Option Strategies

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