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Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.71
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $11.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.84 to $13.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.19, while resistance sits at $12.35.
Market Sentiment: CNH scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.25 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.84 -
$13.58
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($14.25)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 2.0% revenue growth
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.84 -
$13.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$11.19
Resistance Level$12.35
Current TrendStrong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)16.77
Wall Street Target
$14.25
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)-35.3%
Profit Margin1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.59
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$11.66
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.73
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
CNH Industrial is the world's second largest manufacturer of agricultural machinery (82% of industrial net sales) as well as a major player in construction equipment (18% of industrial net sales). Its Case and New Holland brands have served farmers for generations. Geographically, agriculture sales are 40% North America, 32% Europe, Middle East, and Africa, 18% South America, and 10% Asia-Pacific. CNH's products are available through a robust independent dealer network, which includes over 2,600 dealer and distribution locations and reach into 164 countries. The construction business leverages over 400 dealers. The company's captive finance arm provides retail financing to its customers as well as wholesale financing for dealers to maintain inventory, which supports sales.
