CNH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNH - CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V.
$11.87
0.92 (8.40%)
▲
5d:
+13.7%
30d:
+11.77%
90d:
+16.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.28
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNH is currently trading at $11.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.29 to $11.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.24 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.24 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.29 -
$11.06
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.24)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 2.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.29 -
$11.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.03
Resistance Level
$11.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.30
Wall Street Target
$13.24
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.19
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.52
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$12.86
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 51.9%)
$46.49
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 51.9%)
$40.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 51.9%)
$34.05
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$24.09
(+103%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.6
Base Case
$21.90
(+85%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.6
Bear Case
$7.45
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNH price and gamma walls.
