CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$114.90
0.77 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-2.25%
30d:
+0.64%
90d:
+14.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
Get Alerted When CNI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.38
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $114.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.18 to $119.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$114.18 -
$119.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.89)
- BEARISH: Market expects 2.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.18 -
$119.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.50
Resistance Level
$121.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.13
Wall Street Target
$115.89
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
27.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.20
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$119.54
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$121.93
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$115.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$263.92
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 11.5%)
$159.09
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 11.5%)
$135.22
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.42
Bull Case
$202.72
(+76%)
Analyst growth 61.5%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$184.29
(+60%)
Market implied 61.5%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$77.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Railroads Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Railroads by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas … |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$90 | 49 HOLD |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation |
BUY
29 analysts |
$292 | 58 HOLD |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation |
BUY
27 analysts |
$46 | 55 HOLD |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corpora… |
BUY
27 analysts |
$336 | 52 HOLD |
|
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake T… |
BUY
12 analysts |
$300 | 65 BUY |
Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
