Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CP - Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
$90.62
2.52 (2.86%)
▲
5d:
+4.27%
30d:
+2.65%
90d:
-1.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When CP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.21
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CP is currently trading at $90.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.14 to $88.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CP scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CP scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.14 -
$88.44
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($99.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 12.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.14 -
$88.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.98
Resistance Level
$91.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.19
Wall Street Target
$99.25
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.16
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$93.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$95.32
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$183.83
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 15.8%)
$140.62
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$119.53
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$184.24
(+109%)
Analyst growth 91.8%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$167.49
(+90%)
Market implied 91.8%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case
$59.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Railroads Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Railroads by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CNI
Canadian National Railwa… |
BUY
30 analysts |
$136 | 45 HOLD |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$328 | 41 HOLD |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$53 | 39 SELL |
|
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake T… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$330 | 56 HOLD |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corpora… |
SELL
21 analysts |
$356 | 43 HOLD |