CP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CP - Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
$96.69
1.86 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
+4.73%
90d:
+11.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.41
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CP is currently trading at $96.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.27 to $93.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.27 -
$93.78
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.81)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 12.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.27 -
$93.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.50
Resistance Level
$96.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.15
Wall Street Target
$101.81
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.56
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$104.58
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$108.76
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$185.98
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$149.66
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$127.21
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$200.81
(+108%)
Analyst growth 92.5%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$182.55
(+89%)
Market implied 92.5%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$64.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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