Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CP - Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
$89.23
0.39 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-3.73%
90d:
-0.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.56
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CP is currently trading at $89.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.21 to $94.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CP scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.22 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CP scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.22 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.21 -
$94.33
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.22)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 12.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.21 -
$94.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.48
Resistance Level
$94.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.89
Wall Street Target
$101.22
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.12
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$91.02
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$91.93
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$187.26
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 15.7%)
$138.22
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$117.48
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$190.78
(+114%)
Analyst growth 95.2%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$173.44
(+94%)
Market implied 95.2%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$60.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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