Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$119.77
2.61 (2.23%)
â˛
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
-1.38%
90d:
-1.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.80
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $119.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.53 to $125.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.50 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.50 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$119.53 -
$125.98
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($136.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.53 -
$125.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.58
Resistance Level
$121.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.30
Wall Street Target
$136.50
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$122.18
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$123.40
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$249.79
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$162.85
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$138.42
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.50
Bull Case
$211.02
(+76%)
Analyst growth 63.7%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$191.83
(+60%)
Market implied 63.7%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$79.67
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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