CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$119.45
-1.78 (-1.47%)
▼
5d:
+0.71%
30d:
+9.21%
90d:
+7.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.09
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $119.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.52 to $116.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$110.52 -
$116.99
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.02)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.7% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.52 -
$116.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.74
Resistance Level
$121.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.68
Wall Street Target
$115.02
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
27.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.87
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$128.45
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$133.21
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$263.71
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$164.61
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$139.92
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.49
Bull Case
$207.57
(+75%)
Analyst growth 59.1%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$188.70
(+59%)
Market implied 59.1%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$80.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
