Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$123.31
-1.63 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
+2.82%
90d:
-4.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.53
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $123.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.92 to $121.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$117.92 -
$121.62
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($137.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.92 -
$121.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.36
Resistance Level
$125.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.92
Wall Street Target
$137.00
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.05
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$131.25
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$134.54
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$240.94
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$168.82
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$143.50
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.67
Bull Case
$212.58
(+70%)
Analyst growth 58.3%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$193.25
(+55%)
Market implied 58.3%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$82.99
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
