CNI
Canadian National Railway
Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$127.78
+0.22 (+0.17%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
+0.74%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
Protect CNI Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$119.21 – $126.46
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.2x
FAIR
vs 13.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$134.44
+5.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
20th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.18 / $130.22
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.38
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $127.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.21 to $126.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$119.21 -
$126.46
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$119.21 -
$126.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.12
(3.2%)
Support Level
$123.18
Resistance Level
$130.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($134.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.18
Wall Street Target
$134.44
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.61
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$135.56
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$139.63
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$236.58
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$168.93
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$143.59
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77
Bull Case
$219.12
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$199.20
(+56%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$86.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CNI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express a bullish sentiment towards $CNI, with one influential user expressing optimism about the stock's base and potential.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive outlook
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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