Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$122.25
1.09 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
-0.75%
30d:
-3.22%
90d:
+3.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $123.17 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.43
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $122.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.15 to $127.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.20 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.20 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$123.15 -
$127.92
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($140.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.15 -
$127.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.62
Resistance Level
$126.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.57
Wall Street Target
$140.20
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.45
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$126.69
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$128.97
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$246.20
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$165.69
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$140.84
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.61
Bull Case
$213.95
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.5%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$194.50
(+59%)
Market implied 60.5%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$82.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
