WAB Wabtec Inc. RAILROAD EQUIPMENT

Wabtec (WAB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$304.18
+0.69 (+0.23%) ▲
5d: +3.12% 30d: +6.17% 90d: +2.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$279.01 – $293.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.2x FAIR
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$332.83
+9.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$277.85 / $307.96
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.39
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.72
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WAB is currently trading at $304.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $279.01 to $293.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.2) is in line with its historical norms (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $307.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: WAB scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $279.01 - $293.68
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $279.01 - $293.68
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $277.85
Resistance Level $307.96
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($332.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.18
Wall Street Target $332.83 (+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.7%
Profit Margin 11.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 24.2 vs 22.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $313.00 (+3%)
2-Year Target $322.08 (+6%)
3-Year Target $331.42 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $304.30 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.2, Growth: 14.6%) $457.51 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.6%) $375.80 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.6%) $319.43 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.05
Bull Case $512.61 (+69%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case $466.01 (+54%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case $202.77 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WAB)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Wabtec reported strong Q2 2026 earnings, beating consensus estimates, and raised full-year revenue and adjusted EPS guidance.
Key Retail Themes: Earnings beat Raised guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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