WAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAB - Wabtec Inc.
$297.57
5.26 (1.80%)
â˛
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-0.14%
90d:
+16.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WAB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WAB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$424.79
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$263.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAB is currently trading at $297.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.34 to $302.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $289.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $329.17 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $289.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $329.17 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$268.34 -
$302.20
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
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Holding WAB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($329.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$268.34 -
$302.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$289.69
Resistance Level
$304.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.92
Wall Street Target
$329.17
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$306.20
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$315.08
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$324.22
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$298.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$447.13
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$375.22
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$318.94
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.42
Bull Case
$539.18
(+81%)
Analyst growth 67.7%, PE expands to 43.3
Base Case
$490.16
(+65%)
Market implied 67.7%, PE stable at 39.4
Bear Case
$198.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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