DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$105.31
-1.85 (-1.73%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
+0.6%
90d:
+5.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DIS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DIS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.65
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $105.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.91 to $108.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $105.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.18 (+21.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $105.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.18 (+21.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$99.91 -
$108.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($128.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.91 -
$108.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.17
Resistance Level
$111.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.09
Wall Street Target
$128.18
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.3%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$104.47
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$104.05
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â14)
$105.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$191.52
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$133.38
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$113.38
(+8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.81
Bull Case
$183.18
(+74%)
Analyst growth 55.4%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$166.53
(+58%)
Market implied 55.4%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$72.87
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$106.89
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIS price and gamma walls.
