DIS
The Walt Disney Company
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
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The Walt Disney (DIS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$119.21
+0.09 (+0.08%)
▲
5d:
+4.41%
30d:
+9.88%
90d:
+15.49%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$106.46 – $115.39
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.9x
FAIR
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.83
+6.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$108.75 / $120.80
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $117.22 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.13
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $119.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.46 to $115.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DIS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DIS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$106.46 -
$115.39
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$106.46 -
$115.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$108.75
Resistance Level
$120.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
DIS is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($126.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.90
Wall Street Target
$126.83
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.3%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$127.95
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$132.55
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$188.49
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$150.86
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 8.2%)
$128.23
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.85
Bull Case
$202.62
(+70%)
Analyst growth 54.6%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$184.20
(+55%)
Market implied 54.6%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$81.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share DIS Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DIS)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A new Disney AI deal could impact theme park experiences and Adobe investors, while Disney is expected to report earnings next week. Bearish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Disney's AI deal
Theme park experiences
Adobe investors
Disney earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIS price and gamma walls.
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