DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$96.19
0.03 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
+0.5%
90d:
-7.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.15
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $96.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.23 to $99.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $92.49, while resistance sits at $99.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.51 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $92.49, while resistance sits at $99.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.51 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$95.23 -
$99.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($126.51)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.23 -
$99.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.49
Resistance Level
$99.41
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.89
Wall Street Target
$126.51
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.02
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$89.95
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$86.98
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$96.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.6%)
$203.65
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$126.62
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.6%)
$107.63
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.11
Bull Case
$129.19
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.1%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$117.45
(+22%)
Market implied 22.1%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$65.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$106.72
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIS price and gamma walls.
