CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$30.42
0.57 (1.91%)
▲
5d:
+4.75%
30d:
-7.87%
90d:
+1.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.15
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $30.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.00 to $33.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.45 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.45 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.00 -
$33.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.45)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.00 -
$33.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$31.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.35
Wall Street Target
$35.45
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.72
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.03
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$31.34
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$76.18
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$44.79
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$38.07
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$62.20
(+105%)
Analyst growth 89.4%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$56.55
(+86%)
Market implied 89.4%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$20.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 12:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7944 shares
2026-02-04
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