Cinemark (CNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$36.18
-1.12 (-3.00%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+4.03%
90d:
+14.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.48
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $36.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.73 to $37.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.33, while resistance sits at $39.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.82 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.33, while resistance sits at $39.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.82 (+10.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.73 -
$37.26
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.73 -
$37.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.33
Resistance Level
$39.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$39.82
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.98
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$37.79
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$38.62
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$72.33
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$46.96
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.1%)
$39.92
(+10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$64.04
(+77%)
Analyst growth 56.1%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$58.22
(+61%)
Market implied 56.1%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$25.36
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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