Cinemark (CNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.34
+0.16 (+0.39%)
▲
5d:
+2.38%
30d:
+8.96%
90d:
+9.77%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$37.03 – $40.16
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
STRETCHED
vs 12.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$44.27
+7.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$36.50 / $41.67
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.73
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $41.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.03 to $40.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.03 -
$40.16
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$37.03 -
$40.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$36.50
Resistance Level
$41.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.27)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.1% growth expectation is conservative given 160% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.59
Wall Street Target
$44.27
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 12.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.28
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$45.49
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$47.81
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.5%)
$60.37
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 2.5%)
$44.35
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 2.5%)
$37.70
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.44
Bull Case
$52.03
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$47.30
(+15%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$27.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CNK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $CNK's Q3 2026 results, with a record revenue reported and a $43 target price set.
Key Retail Themes:
Record revenue
Bullish price target
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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