Cinemark (CNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$39.92
-0.23 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
+4.5%
30d:
+11.26%
90d:
+22.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.49
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $39.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.18 to $38.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.18 -
$38.46
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.18 -
$38.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.84
Resistance Level
$40.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.27
Wall Street Target
$40.27
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.76
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$43.68
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$45.69
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$67.61
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.8%)
$48.57
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$41.28
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$68.65
(+72%)
Analyst growth 55.4%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$62.41
(+56%)
Market implied 55.4%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$27.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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