CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$33.16
-0.65 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
+25.46%
90d:
+17.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.17
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $33.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.03 to $32.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.00, while resistance sits at $34.73.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.00, while resistance sits at $34.73.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.03 -
$32.82
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.03 -
$32.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.00
Resistance Level
$34.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.53
Wall Street Target
$35.18
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.59
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$36.07
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$37.62
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.4%)
$77.87
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$48.36
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$41.10
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$70.14
(+112%)
Analyst growth 88.6%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$63.76
(+92%)
Market implied 88.6%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$22.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7944 shares
2026-02-04
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