Cinemark (CNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$35.08
-0.07 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
+0.26%
30d:
-5.98%
90d:
+3.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.66
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $35.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.59 to $37.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.64 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.64 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.59 -
$37.76
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.59 -
$37.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.29
Resistance Level
$37.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.07
Wall Street Target
$39.64
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.75
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$36.43
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$37.12
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$76.49
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$49.55
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$42.11
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$58.32
(+66%)
Analyst growth 50.8%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$53.02
(+51%)
Market implied 50.8%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$23.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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