CVNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVNA - Carvana Co.
$62.35
-3.85 (-5.82%)
▼
5d:
-6.33%
30d:
-14.59%
90d:
+3.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.8/10
Get Alerted When CVNA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVNA trades at premium valuation expecting 25.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CVNA trades at premium valuation expecting 25.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVNA is currently trading at $62.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.25 to $70.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 25.9% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.10 (+47.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.10 (+47.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.25 -
$70.33
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.7% below Wall St target ($92.10)
- BEARISH: Market expects 25.9% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.25 -
$70.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.03
Resistance Level
$73.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.71
Wall Street Target
$92.10
(+47.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+25.9% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 14.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+25.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.50
(+26%)
2-Year Target
$98.83
(+59%)
3-Year Target
$124.43
(+100%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 33.6%)
$148.75
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.6%)
$109.06
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 33.6%)
$74.61
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.73
Bull Case
$86.68
(+39%)
Analyst growth 21.3%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$78.80
(+26%)
Market implied 21.3%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$44.17
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Taira
SELL
3770 shares
2026-04-08
Benjamin E Huston
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Mark W Jenkins
SELL
12750 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$370 | 62 BUY |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 67 BUY |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 58 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings I… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$13 | 58 HOLD |
|
CARG
CarGurus |
BUY
13 analysts |
$37 | 61 BUY |
Advanced CVNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVNA price and gamma walls.
