Lithia Motors (LAD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$305.82
-4.98 (-1.60%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.36%
30d:
+6.76%
90d:
-19.21%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Protect LAD Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (54%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$285.13 â $306.33
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.6x
FAIR
vs 7.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$391.20
+27.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$283.93 / $325.00
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LAD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When LAD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$448.87
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$278.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAD is currently trading at $305.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $285.13 to $306.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $283.93, while resistance sits at $325.00.
Market Sentiment: LAD scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $391.20 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $283.93, while resistance sits at $325.00.
Market Sentiment: LAD scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $391.20 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$285.13 -
$306.33
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$285.13 -
$306.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$17.64
(5.8%)
Support Level
$283.93
Resistance Level
$325.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding LAD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($391.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.60
Wall Street Target
$391.20
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$305.51
(0%)
2-Year Target
$305.21
(0%)
3-Year Target
$304.90
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
$305.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$1122.85
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 12.0%)
$429.41
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$365.00
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $34.67
Bull Case
$397.06
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$360.96
(+18%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$211.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$306.02
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Share LAD Analysis
Share this live LAD analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LAD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Lithia Motors (LAD) reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings, with revenue of $9.79bn and EPS of $10.03, surpassing consensus estimates. Key metrics like unit sales, average selling prices, and revenues saw mixed results.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings surprise
key metrics performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co |
BUY
24 analysts |
$81 | 33 SELL |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. CoâĻ |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 58 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings IâĻ |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$8 | 46 HOLD |
|
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc. |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$147 | 22 SELL |
|
VVV
Valvoline Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$42 | 24 SELL |
Advanced LAD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LAD price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive LAD Research Pages
