CARG
CarGurus, Inc. Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
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CarGurus (CARG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$34.59
+0.04 (+0.12%)
▲
5d:
+2.43%
30d:
+21.84%
90d:
-6.21%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect CARG Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$29.18 – $33.52
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.2x
FAIR
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$41.45
+19.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.69 / $38.74
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CARG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $36.09 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.59
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.14
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARG is currently trading at $34.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.18 to $33.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.69, while resistance sits at $38.74.
Market Sentiment: CARG scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.69, while resistance sits at $38.74.
Market Sentiment: CARG scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.18 -
$33.52
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$29.18 -
$33.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$30.69
Resistance Level
$38.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CARG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.45)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.22
Wall Street Target
$41.45
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.8%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.04
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.49
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$32.96
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$34.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$92.12
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 14.6%)
$52.03
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$44.23
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$58.01
(+68%)
Analyst growth 52.6%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$52.74
(+53%)
Market implied 52.6%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$23.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$36.39
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CARG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests a long-term investment in $CARG as it approaches its Daily Moving Average 50.
Key Retail Themes:
Long-term investment potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced CARG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARG price and gamma walls.
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