CVNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVNA - Carvana Co.
$69.91
-1.61 (-2.25%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.51%
30d:
+16.15%
90d:
+8.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $67.61 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVNA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 19.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CVNA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 19.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVNA is currently trading at $69.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.73 to $71.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.2) compared to its historical average (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.76, while resistance sits at $76.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.83 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.76, while resistance sits at $76.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.83 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$63.73 -
$71.94
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($82.83)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 19.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.73 -
$71.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.76
Resistance Level
$76.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.22
Wall Street Target
$82.83
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.0% premium
PE vs Historical
31.2 vs 18.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.19
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$99.00
(+42%)
3-Year Target
$117.81
(+69%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.2, Growth: 45.1%)
$213.69
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 45.1%)
$137.39
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 45.1%)
$116.78
(+67%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$91.77
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$83.43
(+19%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$48.63
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Taira
SELL
3770 shares
2026-04-08
Benjamin E Huston
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Mark W Jenkins
SELL
12750 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced CVNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVNA price and gamma walls.
