CVNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVNA - Carvana Co.
$66.67
0.11 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+4.01%
30d:
+2.71%
90d:
+18.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVNA trades at premium valuation expecting 30.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CVNA trades at premium valuation expecting 30.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVNA is currently trading at $66.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.71 to $70.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.8) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 30.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.03, while resistance sits at $73.55.
Market Sentiment: CVNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.10 (+38.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.03, while resistance sits at $73.55.
Market Sentiment: CVNA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.10 (+38.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.71 -
$70.64
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($92.10)
- BEARISH: Market expects 30.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.71 -
$70.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.03
Resistance Level
$73.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.76
Wall Street Target
$92.10
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+30.2% premium
PE vs Historical
31.8 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+30.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.80
(+30%)
2-Year Target
$113.02
(+70%)
3-Year Target
$147.15
(+121%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.8, Growth: 33.6%)
$159.05
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.6%)
$109.06
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 33.6%)
$72.11
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$92.04
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 43.9
Base Case
$83.68
(+26%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$46.63
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Taira
SELL
3770 shares
2026-04-08
Benjamin E Huston
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Mark W Jenkins
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12750 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced CVNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVNA price and gamma walls.
