ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$6.37
-0.11 (-1.70%) ▼
5d: +5.99%
30d: +6.88%
90d: +35.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.06
29.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $6.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.80 to $6.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.55, while resistance sits at $6.59.

Market Sentiment: ACVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.34 (+46.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $5.80 - $6.34
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.7% below Wall St target ($9.34)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.80 - $6.34
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.56
Resistance Level $6.60
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.13
Wall Street Target $9.34 (+46.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Profit Margin -8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 22.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.03 (-5%)
2-Year Target $5.71 (-10%)
3-Year Target $5.41 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→23) $6.36 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 69.0%) $24.48 (+284%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 69.0%) $21.50 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 69.0%) $18.27 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 22.5
Stabilization Target: $7.49 (+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George Chamoun BUY 24272 shares 2026-03-09
Andrew Peer SELL 1750 shares 2026-01-15
George Chamoun BUY 14286 shares 2026-01-12

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