ACV Auctions (ACVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.
$10.41
3.19 (44.18%)
▲
5d:
+55.37%
30d:
+34.15%
90d:
+61.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $6.92 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ACVA is 27.6% above its trading range ($8.16). Market expects 10.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ACVA is 27.6% above its trading range ($8.16). Market expects 10.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $10.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.84 to $8.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.4) compared to its historical average (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 44.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACVA scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 44.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACVA scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.84 -
$8.16
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+27.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+44.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($9.77)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Pump-risk flag — this pattern historically reverses hard
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.84 -
$8.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.60
Resistance Level
$10.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.38
Wall Street Target
$9.77
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.8% premium
PE vs Historical
30.4 vs 22.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.53
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$12.78
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$14.16
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.4, Growth: 68.6%)
$35.13
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 68.6%)
$23.33
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 68.6%)
$19.83
(+91%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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