ACV Auctions (ACVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.
$10.45
0.02 (0.19%)
â˛
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
+54.59%
90d:
+43.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $10.45, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.22 to $10.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.5) compared to its historical average (23.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACVA scores 14/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACVA scores 14/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.22 -
$10.57
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
32.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (14/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.10)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.22 -
$10.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.41
Resistance Level
$10.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.49
Wall Street Target
$10.10
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 23.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.61
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$12.90
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$14.33
(+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â23)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 64.6%)
$35.27
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 64.6%)
$22.85
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 64.6%)
$19.42
(+86%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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