ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$7.43
-0.24 (-3.13%) β–Ό
5d: -10.16%
30d: -1.85%
90d: +25.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $7.83 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.32
20.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $7.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.33 to $7.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.67, while resistance sits at $8.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: ACVA scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.77 (+31.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $7.33 - $7.96
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($9.77)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.33 - $7.96
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.67
Resistance Level $8.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.68
Wall Street Target $9.77 (+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.4%
Profit Margin -7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.7 vs 22.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.34 (-1%)
2-Year Target $7.25 (-2%)
3-Year Target $7.17 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22β†’23) $7.44 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.7, Growth: 68.6%) $25.08 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 68.6%) $23.21 (+212%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 68.6%) $19.73 (+166%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 22.5
Stabilization Target: $7.71 (+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.8%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George Chamoun BUY 24272 shares 2026-03-09

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