DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$52.63
-0.59 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
-6.23%
30d:
-9.05%
90d:
-6.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.32
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.46
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $52.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.57 to $60.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.42 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.42 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.57 -
$60.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.6% below Wall St target ($76.42)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.57 -
$60.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.10
Resistance Level
$63.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$76.42
(+43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.59
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$39.45
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$53.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.1%)
$125.60
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.1%)
$61.81
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.1%)
$52.54
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38
Bull Case
$118.10
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.8
Base Case
$107.36
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$36.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$71.50
(+34.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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