FRPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRPT - Freshpet, Inc.
$73.97
-0.16 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
+1.66%
30d:
+30.54%
90d:
+44.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When FRPT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRPT is currently trading at $73.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.91 to $70.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.7) is in line with its historical norms (36.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRPT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.25 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRPT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.25 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.91 -
$70.62
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
FRPT is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.91 -
$70.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.20
Resistance Level
$75.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.71
Wall Street Target
$84.25
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
37.7 vs 36.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$76.20
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$77.34
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.7, Growth: 25.7%)
$146.84
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.7%)
$78.15
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 25.7%)
$66.43
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.82
Bull Case
$41.87
(-43%)
Analyst growth -48.7%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$38.06
(-49%)
Market implied -48.7%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$50.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FRPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$15 | 52 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$79 | 42 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$14 | 60 HOLD |
|
KHC
Kraft Heinz Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$25 | 63 BUY |
|
CLNN
Clene Inc. |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$32 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced FRPT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FRPT price and gamma walls.
