FRPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRPT - Freshpet, Inc.
$66.91
0.18 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+12.38%
30d:
+20.62%
90d:
+19.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.62
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRPT is currently trading at $66.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.49 to $62.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.4) is in line with its historical norms (36.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.57, while resistance sits at $74.04.
Market Sentiment: FRPT has a weak technical setup (0/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.50 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.57, while resistance sits at $74.04.
Market Sentiment: FRPT has a weak technical setup (0/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.50 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.49 -
$62.27
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FRPT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($81.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.49 -
$62.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.57
Resistance Level
$74.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.37
Wall Street Target
$81.50
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 36.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$68.53
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$69.35
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$82.24
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$44.52
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$37.84
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.62
Bull Case
$36.70
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$33.36
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$45.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FRPT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FRPT price and gamma walls.
