DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$65.74
-2.10 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-1.94%
30d:
+3.69%
90d:
+13.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.79
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $65.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.80 to $65.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2914.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.23, while resistance sits at $69.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.58 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.23, while resistance sits at $69.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.58 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$59.80 -
$65.64
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.80 -
$65.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.23
Resistance Level
$69.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.46
Wall Street Target
$78.58
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2914.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.93
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$58.34
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$54.95
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$65.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -10.7%)
$83.92
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -10.7%)
$47.92
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: -10.7%)
$40.74
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$113.54
(+73%)
Analyst growth 52.1%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$103.21
(+57%)
Market implied 52.1%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$46.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$78.58
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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