DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$60.64
-0.36 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+7.18%
90d:
-5.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.53
Based on -3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $60.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.11 to $62.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.95, while resistance sits at $65.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.95, while resistance sits at $65.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$55.11 -
$62.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($77.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.11 -
$62.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.95
Resistance Level
$65.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.22
Wall Street Target
$77.55
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.40
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$52.45
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$48.78
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$60.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -10.9%)
$81.64
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: -10.9%)
$44.21
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: -10.9%)
$37.58
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$134.20
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$122.00
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case
$41.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$75.09
(+23.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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