DARLING INGREDIENTS (DAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$61.64
0.93 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
-8.95%
90d:
+9.04%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.47
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $61.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.62 to $66.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2914.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.36, while resistance sits at $66.76.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.58 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.36, while resistance sits at $66.76.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.58 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$61.62 -
$66.46
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($81.58)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.62 -
$66.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.36
Resistance Level
$66.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.75
Wall Street Target
$81.58
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2914.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$50.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$45.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$61.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -7.1%)
$103.40
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -7.1%)
$49.41
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -7.1%)
$42.00
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$112.61
(+83%)
Analyst growth 68.6%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$102.37
(+66%)
Market implied 68.6%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$41.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$84.10
(+36.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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