DARLING INGREDIENTS (DAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$65.11
-1.26 (-1.90%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.97%
30d:
+2.65%
90d:
+14.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DAR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DAR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.83
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $65.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.43 to $67.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2914.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.35, while resistance sits at $68.65.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.58 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.35, while resistance sits at $68.65.
Market Sentiment: DAR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.58 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.43 -
$67.35
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($79.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.43 -
$67.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.35
Resistance Level
$68.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.35
Wall Street Target
$79.58
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2914.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.40
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$57.90
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$54.60
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â14)
$64.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -10.7%)
$84.34
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: -10.7%)
$47.47
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: -10.7%)
$40.35
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$114.41
(+76%)
Analyst growth 56.7%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$104.01
(+60%)
Market implied 56.7%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$45.13
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$77.43
(+18.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 8:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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