DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$59.41
-1.10 (-1.82%)
▼
5d:
-2.03%
30d:
-1.3%
90d:
-4.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.44
Based on -4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $59.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.42 to $62.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2914.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (56/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.58 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (56/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.58 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.42 -
$62.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($78.58)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.42 -
$62.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.76
Resistance Level
$62.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.32
Wall Street Target
$78.58
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2914.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.88
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$48.87
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$44.33
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$59.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -13.6%)
$84.87
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: -13.6%)
$43.31
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -13.6%)
$36.81
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57
Bull Case
$102.49
(+73%)
Analyst growth 61.2%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$93.17
(+57%)
Market implied 61.2%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$39.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$79.42
(+33.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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