Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.92
+0.27 (+2.32%)
▲
5d:
+1.45%
30d:
+3.74%
90d:
+4.75%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$11.40 – $12.14
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x
STRETCHED
vs 7.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.77
+15.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.54 / $12.60
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: NOMD trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.71
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $11.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.40 to $12.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.54, while resistance sits at $12.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.54, while resistance sits at $12.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.40 -
$12.14
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.40 -
$12.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$11.54
Resistance Level
$12.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.77)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.36
Wall Street Target
$13.77
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.1%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.66
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$13.44
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$14.28
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.1%)
$27.38
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -1.1%)
$11.53
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -1.1%)
$9.65
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$16.65
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$15.14
(+27%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$8.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NOMD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about $NOMD's earnings and predicts a potential price recovery to the 16-18 range.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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