Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$10.98
-0.11 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-4.52%
30d:
-3.68%
90d:
+5.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.32
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $10.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.47 to $11.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.66 (+24.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.66 (+24.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.47 -
$11.98
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($13.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.47 -
$11.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$12.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.39
Wall Street Target
$13.66
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.30
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$11.96
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$33.79
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 4.1%)
$12.38
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$10.52
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$17.95
(+63%)
Analyst growth 47.1%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$16.31
(+49%)
Market implied 47.1%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$7.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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