Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$12.00
-0.23 (-1.88%)
▼
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+12.46%
90d:
+0.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.38
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.56 to $11.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.77 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.56 -
$11.39
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.3% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.56 -
$11.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.09
Resistance Level
$12.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.27
Wall Street Target
$13.77
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 6.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.76
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$13.56
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$14.41
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.2%)
$29.83
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 1.2%)
$12.42
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 1.2%)
$10.37
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$18.96
(+58%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$17.23
(+44%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$8.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 25, 2026 11:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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