Nomad Foods (NOMD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$10.65
-0.16 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
+0.19%
30d:
-8.11%
90d:
-6.82%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NOMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.32
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $10.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.61 to $11.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.24 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NOMD scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.24 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.61 -
$11.70
Company Quality Score
77/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($13.24)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.61 -
$11.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.25
Resistance Level
$10.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.17
Wall Street Target
$13.24
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.83
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.02
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$11.20
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.1%)
$34.17
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$12.01
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$10.21
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$16.99
(+60%)
Analyst growth 42.9%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$15.44
(+45%)
Market implied 42.9%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$7.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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