NOMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$9.76
-0.32 (-3.17%)
▼
5d:
-3.37%
30d:
+3.17%
90d:
-5.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NOMD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.56
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $9.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.42 to $10.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.84 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.84 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.42 -
$10.14
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($12.84)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.42 -
$10.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.74
Resistance Level
$10.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.99
Wall Street Target
$12.84
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.44
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.13
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$8.83
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$9.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$45.59
(+367%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$12.46
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$10.59
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$17.45
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$15.86
(+57%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$6.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.76
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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