KHC The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES

The Kraft Heinz (KHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$24.48
+0.21 (+0.87%) ▲
5d: -3.32% 30d: +7.84% 90d: -4.04%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$22.69 – $24.81
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x FAIR
vs 10.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.15
+2.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.77 / $26.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
ℹī¸ NEUTRAL: KHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $25.21 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 4.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.81
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $24.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.69 to $24.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $22.69 - $24.81
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $22.69 - $24.81
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $23.77
Resistance Level $26.28
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.15)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -2.0% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.88
Wall Street Target $25.15 (+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.7%
Profit Margin -14.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 11.9 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.17 (+3%)
2-Year Target $25.87 (+6%)
3-Year Target $26.59 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $24.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.6%) $38.98 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -1.6%) $23.32 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 10.1, Growth: -1.6%) $19.83 (-19%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KHC)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Kraft Heinz outlined its strategy for sustainable, volume-led profitable growth at its 2026 Investor Day, expecting to return to growth in 2027 and achieve consistent growth by 2029.
Key Retail Themes: growth strategy financial milestones
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check

Is KHC showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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