DAVE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAVE - Dave Inc. Class A Common Stock

FINANCE SERVICES
$348.71
25.96 (8.04%) β–²
5d: +10.9%
30d: +36.08%
90d: +94.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: DAVE is 12.7% above its trading range ($309.51). Market expects 7.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$541.46
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$336.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAVE is currently trading at $348.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $249.74 to $309.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $293.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: DAVE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $249.74 - $309.51
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.5%

Protect Your Profits

DAVE is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.7% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($335.73)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.5% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 12.7% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $249.74 - $309.51
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$35.23 (10.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $242.01
Resistance Level $293.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.88
Wall Street Target $335.73 (-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 46.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 104.1%
Profit Margin 37.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.5% premium
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 13.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $374.86 (+8%)
2-Year Target $402.98 (+16%)
3-Year Target $433.20 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17β†’14) PE COMPRESSION $349.05 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.5%) $868.16 (+149%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 24.5%) $672.79 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: 24.5%) $542.10 (+56%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.58
Bull Case $480.83 (+38%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case $437.11 (+25%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case $224.15 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 27, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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