Autodesk (ADSK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADSK - Autodesk Inc
$261.72
-7.44 (-2.76%)
▼
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
+12.04%
90d:
+2.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADSK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$379.22
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$235.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADSK is currently trading at $261.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.17 to $255.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADSK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $234.34, while resistance sits at $279.24.
Market Sentiment: ADSK scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $307.54 (+17.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADSK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $234.34, while resistance sits at $279.24.
Market Sentiment: ADSK scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $307.54 (+17.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$221.17 -
$255.80
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($307.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.17 -
$255.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$234.34
Resistance Level
$279.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.46
Wall Street Target
$307.54
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.6%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$266.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$270.69
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$275.30
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$261.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$385.86
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$341.22
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$290.04
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$447.52
(+71%)
Analyst growth 51.2%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$406.84
(+55%)
Market implied 51.2%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$183.03
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 08, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADSK price and gamma walls.
